Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Tue 13 Jan 2026

19:30

Venue

Signal Iduna Park

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

61%

Borussia Dortmund

1.63

24%

Draw

4.24

15%

Werder Bremen

6.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.00

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

2.92

0.92

Werder Bremen xG

61%
24%
15%
Borussia DortmundDrawWerder Bremen

1.63

61%

Home win

4.24

24%

Draw

6.57

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

40%

Borussia Dortmund

2.51

13%

Werder Bremen

7.41

Win to Nil

24%

Borussia Dortmund

4.10

2%

Werder Bremen

48.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 4.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.8 9.9 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.9 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 7.2 6.6 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 3.6 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.003
λ Away (xG) 0.921
Total xG 2.924
League avg home goals 1.721
League avg away goals 1.470
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.128
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.698
Werder Bremen attack strength 0.898
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.032
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 49