Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

18:30

Venue

Signal Iduna Park

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

55%

Borussia Dortmund

1.83

22%

Draw

4.51

23%

VfL Wolfsburg

4.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

2 – 0

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

3.33

1.28

VfL Wolfsburg xG

55%
22%
23%
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Wolfsburg

1.83

55%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

4.30

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.72

Clean Sheet

28%

Borussia Dortmund

3.60

13%

VfL Wolfsburg

7.72

Win to Nil

15%

Borussia Dortmund

6.59

3%

VfL Wolfsburg

33.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 4.6 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 7.4 9.4 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 7.5 9.6 6.2 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 5.1 6.6 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 2.6 3.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.044
λ Away (xG) 1.281
Total xG 3.325
League avg home goals 1.709
League avg away goals 1.682
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.243
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.730
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 1.043
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 0.962
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37