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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

17:30

Venue

SIGNAL IDUNA PARK

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

48%

Borussia Dortmund

2.08

24%

Draw

4.23

28%

VfL Wolfsburg

3.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 2

6.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

3.34

1.43

VfL Wolfsburg xG

48%
24%
28%
Borussia DortmundDrawVfL Wolfsburg

2.08

48%

Home win

4.23

24%

Draw

3.55

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.53

34%

BTTS No

2.90

Clean Sheet

24%

Borussia Dortmund

4.18

15%

VfL Wolfsburg

6.76

Win to Nil

12%

Borussia Dortmund

8.69

4%

VfL Wolfsburg

23.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 5.1 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 6.8 9.7 6.9 3.3 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 9.2 6.6 3.2 1.1 0.3
3 4.1 5.9 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.0 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.911
λ Away (xG) 1.431
Total xG 3.342
League avg home goals 1.529
League avg away goals 1.440
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.350
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.948
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 1.048
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 0.926
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65