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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

16:30

Venue

Signal Iduna Park

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

50%

Borussia Dortmund

2.00

24%

Draw

4.15

26%

Union Berlin

3.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

3.15

1.29

Union Berlin xG

50%
24%
26%
Borussia DortmundDrawUnion Berlin

2.00

50%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

3.85

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

27%

Borussia Dortmund

3.65

16%

Union Berlin

6.41

Win to Nil

14%

Borussia Dortmund

7.30

4%

Union Berlin

24.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 5.5 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 7.9 10.3 6.7 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 9.6 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.6 5.9 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 2.1 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.858
λ Away (xG) 1.294
Total xG 3.152
League avg home goals 1.531
League avg away goals 1.559
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.220
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.893
Union Berlin attack strength 0.930
Union Berlin defence strength 0.995
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35