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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 19 Dec 2025

19:30

Venue

Signal Iduna Park

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

41%

Borussia Dortmund

2.45

27%

Draw

3.66

32%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

2.67

1.24

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

41%
27%
32%
Borussia DortmundDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach

2.45

41%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

29%

Borussia Dortmund

3.45

24%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

4.18

Win to Nil

12%

Borussia Dortmund

8.47

8%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

13.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 8.6 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.9 12.3 7.6 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.1 8.8 5.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.4 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.430
λ Away (xG) 1.239
Total xG 2.669
League avg home goals 1.699
League avg away goals 1.435
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.114
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.762
Borussia Mönchengladbach attack strength 1.133
Borussia Mönchengladbach defence strength 0.756
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48