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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

16:30

Venue

SIGNAL IDUNA PARK

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

53%

Borussia Dortmund

1.87

21%

Draw

4.72

25%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

3.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.0%

Draw

2 – 2

6.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.22

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

3.73

1.50

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

53%
21%
25%
Borussia DortmundDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach

1.87

53%

Home win

4.72

21%

Draw

3.94

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.43

30%

BTTS No

3.31

Clean Sheet

22%

Borussia Dortmund

4.50

11%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

9.23

Win to Nil

12%

Borussia Dortmund

8.43

3%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

36.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 3.6 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.2
1 5.3 8.0 6.1 3.0 1.1 0.3
2 5.9 8.9 6.7 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 4.4 6.6 5.0 2.5 0.9 0.3
4 2.4 3.7 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.2
5 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.222
λ Away (xG) 1.505
Total xG 3.727
League avg home goals 1.490
League avg away goals 1.453
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.361
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.900
Borussia Mönchengladbach attack strength 1.150
Borussia Mönchengladbach defence strength 1.095
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63