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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 15 May 2027

14:30

Venue

Signal Iduna Park

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

61%

Borussia Dortmund

1.65

20%

Draw

5.10

20%

1. FC Köln

5.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.3%

Draw

2 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.29

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

3.54

1.25

1. FC Köln xG

61%
20%
20%
Borussia DortmundDraw1. FC Köln

1.65

61%

Home win

5.10

20%

Draw

5.07

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.79

Clean Sheet

29%

Borussia Dortmund

3.48

10%

1. FC Köln

9.87

Win to Nil

17%

Borussia Dortmund

5.74

2%

1. FC Köln

49.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 3.6 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 6.7 8.3 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
2 7.6 9.5 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.8 7.3 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 3.3 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.289
λ Away (xG) 1.248
Total xG 3.537
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.155
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.914
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.930
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.087
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34