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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 19 Dec 2026

14:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

63%

Bayern München

1.59

19%

Draw

5.39

18%

Werder Bremen

5.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.5%

Draw

3 – 1

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.45

Bayern München xG

Total xG

3.73

1.28

Werder Bremen xG

63%
19%
18%
Bayern MünchenDrawWerder Bremen

1.59

63%

Home win

5.39

19%

Draw

5.43

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.95

Clean Sheet

28%

Bayern München

3.60

9%

Werder Bremen

11.62

Win to Nil

18%

Bayern München

5.71

2%

Werder Bremen

63.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 3.1 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
1 5.9 7.5 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
2 7.2 9.2 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.9 7.5 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 3.6 4.6 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.453
λ Away (xG) 1.280
Total xG 3.733
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
Bayern München attack strength 1.460
Bayern München defence strength 0.992
Werder Bremen attack strength 0.879
Werder Bremen defence strength 0.922
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34