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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

19:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

68%

Bayern München

1.46

16%

Draw

6.37

16%

Werder Bremen

6.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.9%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.7%

Home win

2 – 0

5.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.93

Bayern München xG

Total xG

4.34

1.41

Werder Bremen xG

68%
16%
16%
Bayern MünchenDrawWerder Bremen

1.46

68%

Home win

6.37

16%

Draw

6.31

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

93%

Over 1.5

1.08

7%

Under 1.5

14.29

81%

Over 2.5

1.23

19%

Under 2.5

5.26

63%

Over 3.5

1.59

37%

Under 3.5

2.70

44%

Over 4.5

2.27

56%

Under 4.5

1.79

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.39

28%

BTTS No

3.53

Clean Sheet

24%

Bayern München

4.11

5%

Werder Bremen

18.73

Win to Nil

17%

Bayern München

6.01

1%

Werder Bremen

118.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
1 3.8 5.4 3.8 1.8 0.6 0.2
2 5.6 7.9 5.6 2.6 0.9 0.3
3 5.4 7.7 5.4 2.6 0.9 0.3
4 4.0 5.6 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 2.3 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.930
λ Away (xG) 1.414
Total xG 4.344
League avg home goals 1.688
League avg away goals 1.658
Bayern München attack strength 1.708
Bayern München defence strength 0.720
Werder Bremen attack strength 1.184
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.016
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38