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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Fri 7 Feb 2025

19:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

68%

Bayern München

1.46

15%

Draw

6.47

16%

Werder Bremen

6.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 1

7.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

7.4%

Home win

4 – 1

5.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.03

Bayern München xG

Total xG

4.53

1.50

Werder Bremen xG

68%
15%
16%
Bayern MünchenDrawWerder Bremen

1.46

68%

Home win

6.47

15%

Draw

6.18

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

94%

Over 1.5

1.06

6%

Under 1.5

16.67

83%

Over 2.5

1.20

17%

Under 2.5

5.88

66%

Over 3.5

1.52

34%

Under 3.5

2.94

47%

Over 4.5

2.13

53%

Under 4.5

1.89

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

74%

BTTS Yes

1.35

26%

BTTS No

3.84

Clean Sheet

22%

Bayern München

4.48

5%

Werder Bremen

20.74

Win to Nil

15%

Bayern München

6.55

1%

Werder Bremen

128.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
1 3.3 4.9 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.2
2 5.0 7.4 5.6 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 5.0 7.5 5.6 2.8 1.1 0.3
4 3.8 5.7 4.3 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 2.3 3.4 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.032
λ Away (xG) 1.499
Total xG 4.531
League avg home goals 1.771
League avg away goals 1.413
Bayern München attack strength 1.636
Bayern München defence strength 0.896
Werder Bremen attack strength 1.184
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.046
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54