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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 5 Dec 2026

14:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

74%

Bayern München

1.36

14%

Draw

7.06

12%

SC Paderborn 07

8.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

7.9%

Home win

3 – 0

6.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.06

Bayern München xG

Total xG

4.30

1.24

SC Paderborn 07 xG

74%
14%
12%
Bayern MünchenDrawSC Paderborn 07

1.36

74%

Home win

7.06

14%

Draw

8.25

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

93%

Over 1.5

1.08

7%

Under 1.5

14.29

80%

Over 2.5

1.25

20%

Under 2.5

5.00

62%

Over 3.5

1.61

38%

Under 3.5

2.63

43%

Over 4.5

2.33

57%

Under 4.5

1.75

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.48

32%

BTTS No

3.10

Clean Sheet

29%

Bayern München

3.45

5%

SC Paderborn 07

21.33

Win to Nil

21%

Bayern München

4.68

1%

SC Paderborn 07

175.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
1 4.2 5.2 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
2 6.4 7.9 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 6.5 8.0 5.0 2.1 0.6 0.2
4 5.0 6.1 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 3.0 3.8 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.060
λ Away (xG) 1.238
Total xG 4.298
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
Bayern München attack strength 1.460
Bayern München defence strength 0.992
SC Paderborn 07 attack strength 0.850
SC Paderborn 07 defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0