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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Wed 3 Mar 2027

19:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

70%

Bayern München

1.44

16%

Draw

6.36

15%

SC Freiburg

6.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.9%

Home win

2 – 0

6.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.87

Bayern München xG

Total xG

4.17

1.30

SC Freiburg xG

70%
16%
15%
Bayern MünchenDrawSC Freiburg

1.44

70%

Home win

6.36

16%

Draw

6.80

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

79%

Over 2.5

1.27

21%

Under 2.5

4.76

60%

Over 3.5

1.67

40%

Under 3.5

2.50

41%

Over 4.5

2.44

59%

Under 4.5

1.69

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.21

Clean Sheet

27%

Bayern München

3.69

6%

SC Freiburg

17.62

Win to Nil

19%

Bayern München

5.30

1%

SC Freiburg

119.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.2
1 4.4 5.8 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
2 6.3 8.3 5.4 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 6.1 7.9 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 4.3 5.7 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 2.5 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.869
λ Away (xG) 1.305
Total xG 4.174
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
Bayern München attack strength 1.455
Bayern München defence strength 0.992
SC Freiburg attack strength 0.896
SC Freiburg defence strength 1.082
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34