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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 17 Oct 2026

14:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

64%

Bayern München

1.56

17%

Draw

5.82

19%

RB Leipzig

5.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.4%

Home win

2 – 2

6.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.74

Bayern München xG

Total xG

4.23

1.49

RB Leipzig xG

64%
17%
19%
Bayern MünchenDrawRB Leipzig

1.56

64%

Home win

5.82

17%

Draw

5.30

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

79%

Over 2.5

1.27

21%

Under 2.5

4.76

61%

Over 3.5

1.64

39%

Under 3.5

2.56

42%

Over 4.5

2.38

58%

Under 4.5

1.72

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.38

28%

BTTS No

3.63

Clean Sheet

23%

Bayern München

4.41

6%

RB Leipzig

15.52

Win to Nil

14%

Bayern München

6.91

1%

RB Leipzig

82.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5 2.2 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
1 4.0 5.9 4.4 2.2 0.8 0.2
2 5.5 8.1 6.1 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 5.0 7.4 5.5 2.7 1.0 0.3
4 3.4 5.1 3.8 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 1.9 2.8 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.742
λ Away (xG) 1.485
Total xG 4.227
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
Bayern München attack strength 1.463
Bayern München defence strength 0.992
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.020
RB Leipzig defence strength 1.029
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34