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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Fri 22 Aug 2025

19:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

53%

Bayern München

1.87

24%

Draw

4.23

23%

RB Leipzig

4.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

Bayern München xG

Total xG

3.16

1.22

RB Leipzig xG

53%
24%
23%
Bayern MünchenDrawRB Leipzig

1.87

53%

Home win

4.23

24%

Draw

4.35

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

30%

Bayern München

3.38

14%

RB Leipzig

6.95

Win to Nil

16%

Bayern München

6.34

3%

RB Leipzig

30.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 5.2 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 8.2 10.0 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.7 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 5.2 6.3 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.5 3.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.939
λ Away (xG) 1.219
Total xG 3.158
League avg home goals 1.552
League avg away goals 1.547
Bayern München attack strength 1.262
Bayern München defence strength 0.901
RB Leipzig attack strength 0.875
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.991
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34