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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 20 Dec 2024

19:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

58%

Bayern München

1.73

25%

Draw

3.99

17%

RB Leipzig

5.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

2 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.12

Bayern München xG

Total xG

3.25

1.12

RB Leipzig xG

58%
25%
17%
Bayern MünchenDrawRB Leipzig

1.73

58%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

5.85

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.61

Clean Sheet

32%

Bayern München

3.08

12%

RB Leipzig

8.34

Win to Nil

19%

Bayern München

5.33

2%

RB Leipzig

48.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 4.4 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 8.3 9.3 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.9 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 6.2 7.0 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.3 3.7 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.121
λ Away (xG) 1.125
Total xG 3.246
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.488
Bayern München attack strength 1.426
Bayern München defence strength 0.702
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.077
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.905
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48