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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

14:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

86%

Bayern München

1.16

8%

Draw

11.90

5%

Holstein Kiel

18.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 1

7.4%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

7.3%

Home win

4 – 1

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.85

Bayern München xG

Total xG

4.88

1.02

Holstein Kiel xG

86%
Bayern MünchenDrawHolstein Kiel

1.16

86%

Home win

11.90

8%

Draw

18.45

5%

Away win

Goals Markets

96%

Over 1.5

1.04

4%

Under 1.5

25.00

86%

Over 2.5

1.16

14%

Under 2.5

7.14

72%

Over 3.5

1.39

28%

Under 3.5

3.57

54%

Over 4.5

1.85

46%

Under 4.5

2.17

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.68

Clean Sheet

36%

Bayern München

2.78

2%

Holstein Kiel

47.18

Win to Nil

31%

Bayern München

3.23

0%

Holstein Kiel

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
1 2.9 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.1
2 5.7 5.8 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
3 7.3 7.4 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 7.0 7.2 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 5.4 5.5 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.854
λ Away (xG) 1.023
Total xG 4.877
League avg home goals 1.817
League avg away goals 1.405
Bayern München attack strength 1.610
Bayern München defence strength 0.746
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.976
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.317
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 19