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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

73%

Bayern München

1.38

16%

Draw

6.15

11%

Hamburger SV

9.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

3 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.48

Bayern München xG

Total xG

3.35

0.86

Hamburger SV xG

73%
16%
Bayern MünchenDrawHamburger SV

1.38

73%

Home win

6.15

16%

Draw

9.04

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

42%

Bayern München

2.38

8%

Hamburger SV

11.95

Win to Nil

31%

Bayern München

3.27

1%

Hamburger SV

108.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 8.7 7.6 3.3 0.9 0.2
2 10.8 9.4 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 9.0 7.8 3.4 1.0 0.2
4 5.6 4.8 2.1 0.6 0.1
5 2.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.481
λ Away (xG) 0.865
Total xG 3.346
League avg home goals 1.681
League avg away goals 1.565
Bayern München attack strength 1.573
Bayern München defence strength 0.800
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.691
Hamburger SV defence strength 0.939
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 36 / 2