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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 30 Jan 2027

14:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

74%

Bayern München

1.36

14%

Draw

7.04

12%

FC Schalke 04

8.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

7.9%

Home win

3 – 0

6.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.05

Bayern München xG

Total xG

4.29

1.24

FC Schalke 04 xG

74%
14%
12%
Bayern MünchenDrawFC Schalke 04

1.36

74%

Home win

7.04

14%

Draw

8.22

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

93%

Over 1.5

1.08

7%

Under 1.5

14.29

80%

Over 2.5

1.25

20%

Under 2.5

5.00

62%

Over 3.5

1.61

38%

Under 3.5

2.63

43%

Over 4.5

2.33

57%

Under 4.5

1.75

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.48

32%

BTTS No

3.10

Clean Sheet

29%

Bayern München

3.45

5%

FC Schalke 04

21.20

Win to Nil

21%

Bayern München

4.68

1%

FC Schalke 04

174.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
1 4.2 5.2 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
2 6.4 7.9 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 6.5 8.0 5.0 2.1 0.6 0.2
4 5.0 6.1 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 3.0 3.7 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.054
λ Away (xG) 1.238
Total xG 4.292
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
Bayern München attack strength 1.458
Bayern München defence strength 0.992
FC Schalke 04 attack strength 0.850
FC Schalke 04 defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0