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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Wed 15 Jan 2025

19:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

70%

Bayern München

1.44

19%

Draw

5.39

12%

1899 Hoffenheim

8.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.20

Bayern München xG

Total xG

2.99

0.79

1899 Hoffenheim xG

70%
19%
12%
Bayern MünchenDraw1899 Hoffenheim

1.44

70%

Home win

5.39

19%

Draw

8.38

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

45%

Bayern München

2.20

11%

1899 Hoffenheim

9.03

Win to Nil

32%

Bayern München

3.17

1%

1899 Hoffenheim

75.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 4.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.1 8.7 3.4 0.9 0.2
2 12.2 9.6 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 8.9 7.0 2.8 0.7 0.1
4 4.9 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 2.2 1.7 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.200
λ Away (xG) 0.789
Total xG 2.989
League avg home goals 1.768
League avg away goals 1.418
Bayern München attack strength 1.473
Bayern München defence strength 0.748
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 0.744
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 0.845
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50