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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 21 Nov 2026

14:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

69%

Bayern München

1.45

16%

Draw

6.37

15%

1. FC Köln

6.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.8%

Home win

2 – 0

6.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.90

Bayern München xG

Total xG

4.25

1.35

1. FC Köln xG

69%
16%
15%
Bayern MünchenDraw1. FC Köln

1.45

69%

Home win

6.37

16%

Draw

6.61

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

93%

Over 1.5

1.08

7%

Under 1.5

14.29

80%

Over 2.5

1.25

20%

Under 2.5

5.00

61%

Over 3.5

1.64

39%

Under 3.5

2.56

42%

Over 4.5

2.38

58%

Under 4.5

1.72

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.43

30%

BTTS No

3.34

Clean Sheet

26%

Bayern München

3.86

6%

1. FC Köln

18.17

Win to Nil

18%

Bayern München

5.58

1%

1. FC Köln

120.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
1 4.1 5.6 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.2
2 6.0 8.1 5.5 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.8 7.8 5.3 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 4.2 5.7 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 2.4 3.3 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.900
λ Away (xG) 1.351
Total xG 4.251
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
Bayern München attack strength 1.460
Bayern München defence strength 0.992
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.927
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.090
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34