Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 16 May 2026

14:30

Venue

Allianz Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

78%

Bayern München

1.28

12%

Draw

8.24

10%

1. FC Köln

10.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

3 – 1

7.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

7.1%

Home win

3 – 0

6.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

3.34

Bayern München xG

Total xG

4.55

1.21

1. FC Köln xG

78%
12%
Bayern MünchenDraw1. FC Köln

1.28

78%

Home win

8.24

12%

Draw

10.15

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

94%

Over 1.5

1.06

6%

Under 1.5

16.67

83%

Over 2.5

1.20

17%

Under 2.5

5.88

67%

Over 3.5

1.49

33%

Under 3.5

3.03

48%

Over 4.5

2.08

52%

Under 4.5

1.92

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.48

32%

BTTS No

3.09

Clean Sheet

30%

Bayern München

3.35

4%

1. FC Köln

28.28

Win to Nil

23%

Bayern München

4.29

0%

1. FC Köln

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
1 3.5 4.3 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
2 5.9 7.1 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 6.6 7.9 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 5.5 6.6 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 3.7 4.4 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 3.342
λ Away (xG) 1.208
Total xG 4.550
League avg home goals 1.721
League avg away goals 1.492
Bayern München attack strength 1.700
Bayern München defence strength 1.001
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.810
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.143
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 33