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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

14:30

Venue

BayArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

61%

Bayer Leverkusen

1.63

20%

Draw

4.90

18%

Union Berlin

5.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

2 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.17

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Total xG

3.27

1.10

Union Berlin xG

61%
20%
18%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawUnion Berlin

1.63

61%

Home win

4.90

20%

Draw

5.52

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

33%

Bayer Leverkusen

3.01

11%

Union Berlin

8.76

Win to Nil

20%

Bayer Leverkusen

4.89

2%

Union Berlin

48.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 4.2 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.1
1 8.2 9.1 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 8.9 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 6.5 7.1 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 3.5 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 1.5 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.170
λ Away (xG) 1.101
Total xG 3.271
League avg home goals 1.511
League avg away goals 1.440
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.205
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.848
Union Berlin attack strength 0.901
Union Berlin defence strength 1.192
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62