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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

17:30

Venue

BayArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

56%

Bayer Leverkusen

1.79

26%

Draw

3.85

18%

SC Freiburg

5.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Total xG

2.99

1.05

SC Freiburg xG

56%
26%
18%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSC Freiburg

1.79

56%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

5.52

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

35%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.86

14%

SC Freiburg

6.93

Win to Nil

20%

Bayer Leverkusen

5.12

3%

SC Freiburg

38.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 5.3 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 9.8 10.3 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.1 6.4 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.0 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.936
λ Away (xG) 1.051
Total xG 2.987
League avg home goals 1.696
League avg away goals 1.493
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.246
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.969
SC Freiburg attack strength 0.726
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.916
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48