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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 5 Dec 2026

14:30

Venue

BayArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

57%

Bayer Leverkusen

1.74

21%

Draw

4.71

21%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

4.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

2 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.08

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Total xG

3.28

1.20

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

57%
21%
21%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach

1.74

57%

Home win

4.71

21%

Draw

4.67

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.58

Clean Sheet

30%

Bayer Leverkusen

3.32

13%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

7.97

Win to Nil

17%

Bayer Leverkusen

5.80

3%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

37.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 4.5 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 7.8 9.4 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 8.1 9.8 5.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 5.6 6.8 4.1 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.9 3.5 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.076
λ Away (xG) 1.201
Total xG 3.277
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.118
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.954
Borussia Mönchengladbach attack strength 0.858
Borussia Mönchengladbach defence strength 1.019
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34