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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

14:30

Venue

PreZero Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

24%

1899 Hoffenheim

4.10

23%

Draw

4.37

53%

FSV Mainz 05

1.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

0 – 1

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

1899 Hoffenheim xG

Total xG

3.13

1.90

FSV Mainz 05 xG

24%
23%
53%
1899 HoffenheimDrawFSV Mainz 05

4.10

24%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

1.90

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.65

40%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

15%

1899 Hoffenheim

6.67

29%

FSV Mainz 05

3.42

Win to Nil

4%

1899 Hoffenheim

27.35

15%

FSV Mainz 05

6.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 8.3 7.9 5.0 2.4 0.9
1 5.4 10.2 9.7 6.1 2.9 1.1
2 3.3 6.3 6.0 3.8 1.8 0.7
3 1.4 2.6 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.3
4 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.231
λ Away (xG) 1.898
Total xG 3.129
League avg home goals 1.511
League avg away goals 1.440
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 0.873
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 1.173
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 1.124
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.934
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62