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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

14:30

Venue

PreZero Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1899 Hoffenheim Win

75%

1899 Hoffenheim

1.33

16%

Draw

6.19

9%

FC St. Pauli

11.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

9.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.63

1899 Hoffenheim xG

Total xG

3.47

0.83

FC St. Pauli xG

75%
16%
1899 HoffenheimDrawFC St. Pauli

1.33

75%

Home win

6.19

16%

Draw

11.39

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

43%

1899 Hoffenheim

2.30

7%

FC St. Pauli

13.92

Win to Nil

33%

1899 Hoffenheim

3.07

1%

FC St. Pauli

158.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 8.2 6.9 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 10.8 9.0 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 9.5 7.9 3.3 0.9 0.2
4 6.3 5.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
5 3.3 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.633
λ Away (xG) 0.834
Total xG 3.467
League avg home goals 1.726
League avg away goals 1.391
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 1.365
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 0.809
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.741
FC St. Pauli defence strength 1.118
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57