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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

14:30

Venue

PreZero Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

35%

1899 Hoffenheim

2.87

25%

Draw

3.99

40%

Borussia Dortmund

2.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

1899 Hoffenheim xG

Total xG

3.04

1.58

Borussia Dortmund xG

35%
25%
40%
1899 HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund

2.87

35%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

2.49

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.60

Clean Sheet

21%

1899 Hoffenheim

4.86

23%

Borussia Dortmund

4.31

Win to Nil

7%

1899 Hoffenheim

13.97

9%

Borussia Dortmund

10.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 7.6 6.0 3.2 1.2 0.4
1 7.0 11.0 8.7 4.6 1.8 0.6
2 5.1 8.0 6.4 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 2.5 3.9 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.460
λ Away (xG) 1.582
Total xG 3.042
League avg home goals 1.483
League avg away goals 1.449
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 0.933
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 1.042
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.047
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 1.055
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64