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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

19:30

Venue

PreZero Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Köln Win

34%

1899 Hoffenheim

2.97

22%

Draw

4.48

44%

1. FC Köln

2.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

2 – 1

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

1899 Hoffenheim xG

Total xG

3.70

1.98

1. FC Köln xG

34%
22%
44%
1899 HoffenheimDraw1. FC Köln

2.97

34%

Home win

4.48

22%

Draw

2.27

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.41

29%

BTTS No

3.47

Clean Sheet

14%

1899 Hoffenheim

7.22

18%

1. FC Köln

5.58

Win to Nil

5%

1899 Hoffenheim

21.42

8%

1. FC Köln

12.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 4.9 4.9 3.2 1.6 0.6
1 4.3 8.4 8.3 5.5 2.7 1.1
2 3.7 7.3 7.2 4.7 2.3 0.9
3 2.1 4.2 4.1 2.7 1.3 0.5
4 0.9 1.8 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.719
λ Away (xG) 1.977
Total xG 3.696
League avg home goals 1.627
League avg away goals 1.656
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 0.827
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 1.244
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.959
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.277
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 5