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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 12 Sep 2026

14:30

Venue

RheinEnergieStadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Köln Win

42%

1. FC Köln

2.39

24%

Draw

4.13

34%

Werder Bremen

2.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

1. FC Köln xG

Total xG

3.07

1.44

Werder Bremen xG

42%
24%
34%
1. FC KölnDrawWerder Bremen

2.39

42%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

2.95

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.60

Clean Sheet

24%

1. FC Köln

4.24

20%

Werder Bremen

5.08

Win to Nil

10%

1. FC Köln

10.13

7%

Werder Bremen

14.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 6.7 4.8 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 7.5 10.9 7.9 3.8 1.4 0.4
2 6.1 8.9 6.4 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.3 4.8 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.4 2.0 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.626
λ Away (xG) 1.444
Total xG 3.070
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.969
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.120
Werder Bremen attack strength 0.878
Werder Bremen defence strength 0.921
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34