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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 10 Oct 2026

14:30

Venue

RheinEnergieStadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Köln Win

47%

1. FC Köln

2.14

23%

Draw

4.30

30%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

3.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

1. FC Köln xG

Total xG

3.21

1.41

Borussia Mönchengladbach xG

47%
23%
30%
1. FC KölnDrawBorussia Mönchengladbach

2.14

47%

Home win

4.30

23%

Draw

3.32

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.72

Clean Sheet

24%

1. FC Köln

4.09

17%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

6.04

Win to Nil

11%

1. FC Köln

8.78

5%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

20.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 5.7 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2
1 7.3 10.3 7.2 3.4 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 9.2 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.9 5.5 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.8 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.798
λ Away (xG) 1.409
Total xG 3.207
League avg home goals 1.822
League avg away goals 1.468
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.969
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.120
Borussia Mönchengladbach attack strength 0.857
Borussia Mönchengladbach defence strength 1.019
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34