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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

12:00

Venue

Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SV Darmstadt 98 Win

38%

SV Darmstadt 98

2.62

27%

Draw

3.70

35%

Hamburger SV

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

SV Darmstadt 98 xG

Total xG

2.91

1.42

Hamburger SV xG

38%
27%
35%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawHamburger SV

2.62

38%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.49

Clean Sheet

24%

SV Darmstadt 98

4.12

23%

Hamburger SV

4.44

Win to Nil

9%

SV Darmstadt 98

10.82

8%

Hamburger SV

12.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 7.7 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.3
1 8.1 11.5 8.2 3.9 1.4 0.4
2 6.1 8.6 6.1 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 3.0 4.3 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.491
λ Away (xG) 1.417
Total xG 2.908
League avg home goals 1.449
League avg away goals 1.292
SV Darmstadt 98 attack strength 1.111
SV Darmstadt 98 defence strength 0.881
Hamburger SV attack strength 1.245
Hamburger SV defence strength 0.926
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 65