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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SV Darmstadt 98 Win

54%

SV Darmstadt 98

1.86

22%

Draw

4.53

24%

Dynamo Dresden

4.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

SV Darmstadt 98 xG

Total xG

3.18

1.24

Dynamo Dresden xG

54%
22%
24%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawDynamo Dresden

1.86

54%

Home win

4.53

22%

Draw

4.13

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

29%

SV Darmstadt 98

3.45

14%

Dynamo Dresden

6.95

Win to Nil

16%

SV Darmstadt 98

6.43

3%

Dynamo Dresden

28.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 5.2 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 8.1 10.0 6.2 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.7 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.1 6.3 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.5 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.939
λ Away (xG) 1.239
Total xG 3.178
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 1.374
SV Darmstadt 98 attack strength 1.147
SV Darmstadt 98 defence strength 0.861
Dynamo Dresden attack strength 1.047
Dynamo Dresden defence strength 1.228
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 6