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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 23 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SV Darmstadt 98 Win

53%

SV Darmstadt 98

1.87

24%

Draw

4.22

23%

1. FC Nürnberg

4.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

SV Darmstadt 98 xG

Total xG

2.79

1.05

1. FC Nürnberg xG

53%
24%
23%
SV Darmstadt 98Draw1. FC Nürnberg

1.87

53%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

4.37

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

35%

SV Darmstadt 98

2.86

18%

1. FC Nürnberg

5.67

Win to Nil

19%

SV Darmstadt 98

5.36

4%

1. FC Nürnberg

24.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 6.5 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.7 11.2 5.9 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.8 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.4 5.6 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.3 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.735
λ Away (xG) 1.052
Total xG 2.787
League avg home goals 1.442
League avg away goals 1.304
SV Darmstadt 98 attack strength 1.145
SV Darmstadt 98 defence strength 0.915
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 0.881
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 1.052
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52