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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

12:30

Venue

Donaustadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hertha BSC Win

32%

SSV Ulm 1846

3.09

31%

Draw

3.26

37%

Hertha BSC

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

SSV Ulm 1846 xG

Total xG

2.42

1.26

Hertha BSC xG

32%
31%
37%
SSV Ulm 1846DrawHertha BSC

3.09

32%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

28%

SSV Ulm 1846

3.51

31%

Hertha BSC

3.19

Win to Nil

9%

SSV Ulm 1846

10.85

12%

Hertha BSC

8.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 11.2 7.0 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 10.4 13.0 8.2 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.0 7.5 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.3 2.9 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.160
λ Away (xG) 1.256
Total xG 2.416
League avg home goals 1.459
League avg away goals 1.258
SSV Ulm 1846 attack strength 0.783
SSV Ulm 1846 defence strength 0.876
Hertha BSC attack strength 1.140
Hertha BSC defence strength 1.016
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 63