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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

14:30

Venue

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hamburger SV Win

18%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

5.45

22%

Draw

4.52

60%

Hamburger SV

1.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

0 – 2

8.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

Total xG

3.32

2.17

Hamburger SV xG

18%
22%
60%
SpVgg Greuther FürthDrawHamburger SV

5.45

18%

Home win

4.52

22%

Draw

1.68

60%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.60

Clean Sheet

11%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

8.72

32%

Hamburger SV

3.16

Win to Nil

2%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

47.51

19%

Hamburger SV

5.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 7.9 8.5 6.1 3.3 1.4
1 4.2 9.0 9.8 7.1 3.8 1.7
2 2.4 5.2 5.6 4.1 2.2 1.0
3 0.9 2.0 2.2 1.6 0.8 0.4
4 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.150
λ Away (xG) 2.166
Total xG 3.316
League avg home goals 1.475
League avg away goals 1.316
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 0.937
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.197
Hamburger SV attack strength 1.375
Hamburger SV defence strength 0.831
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67