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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 23 Jan 2027

12:30

Venue

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win

58%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

1.73

22%

Draw

4.48

20%

FC St. Pauli

5.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

2 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.02

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

Total xG

3.13

1.11

FC St. Pauli xG

58%
22%
20%
SpVgg Greuther FürthDrawFC St. Pauli

1.73

58%

Home win

4.48

22%

Draw

5.07

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

33%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

3.03

13%

FC St. Pauli

7.55

Win to Nil

19%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

5.23

3%

FC St. Pauli

38.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 4.8 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 8.8 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.9 5.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 6.0 6.7 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 3.0 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.022
λ Away (xG) 1.108
Total xG 3.130
League avg home goals 1.746
League avg away goals 1.253
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 1.007
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.040
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.850
FC St. Pauli defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0