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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

17:30

Venue

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win

39%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2.54

28%

Draw

3.63

33%

1. FC Köln

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

Total xG

2.69

1.28

1. FC Köln xG

39%
28%
33%
SpVgg Greuther FürthDraw1. FC Köln

2.54

39%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

28%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

3.59

24%

1. FC Köln

4.10

Win to Nil

11%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

9.11

8%

1. FC Köln

12.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 8.7 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.6 12.3 7.8 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 8.6 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.2 4.1 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.412
λ Away (xG) 1.277
Total xG 2.689
League avg home goals 1.477
League avg away goals 1.236
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 1.090
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.267
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.816
1. FC Köln defence strength 0.877
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 28