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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Hannover 96 cruise to a comfortable 1-3 victory over Karlsruher SC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Hannover 96 beat Karlsruher SC 1-3 at BBBank Wildpark, Regular Season - 31, in the 2. Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Karlsruher SC 1.79 xG and Hannover 96 1.92 xG, a combined 3.71. The scoreboard read 1-3 for 4 actual goals. Hannover 96 outscored their 1.92 projection by 1.1. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Karlsruher SC attack 1.32 / defence 1.19 against Hannover 96 attack 1.26 / defence 0.85, drawn from 64/64 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Karlsruher SC 35% | Draw 24% | Hannover 96 40%, with Hannover 96 to win its most likely call at 40%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 72%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 90% and landed. Over 3.5 was 51% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 73% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 63% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Karlsruher SC 72%, Hannover 96 55%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Karlsruher SC's trading profile (64 games, 31 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did.

Hannover 96's trading profile (64 games, 31 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and conceded here.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Karlsruher SC 1.44 PPG, Hannover 96 1.64 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Hannover 96 win broke the near-deadlock. Karlsruher SC (home/away splits) managed 1 against a 1.97 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.52 concession average — a leakier day than usual. Hannover 96 (home/away splits) scored 3 against a 1.52 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights