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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 20 Mar 2027

12:30

Venue

Holstein-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Holstein Kiel Win

48%

Holstein Kiel

2.07

26%

Draw

3.89

26%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

3.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Holstein Kiel xG

Total xG

2.80

1.15

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

48%
26%
26%
Holstein KielDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth

2.07

48%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

3.85

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

32%

Holstein Kiel

3.16

19%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

5.19

Win to Nil

15%

Holstein Kiel

6.54

5%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

19.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 7.0 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.0 11.6 6.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.5 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.5 5.2 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.647
λ Away (xG) 1.150
Total xG 2.797
League avg home goals 1.746
League avg away goals 1.253
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.927
Holstein Kiel defence strength 0.975
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 0.941
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.018
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34