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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

12:00

Venue

Holstein-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Holstein Kiel Win

41%

Holstein Kiel

2.46

31%

Draw

3.23

28%

1. FC Nürnberg

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Holstein Kiel xG

Total xG

2.37

1.06

1. FC Nürnberg xG

41%
31%
28%
Holstein KielDraw1. FC Nürnberg

2.46

41%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

3.51

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

35%

Holstein Kiel

2.89

27%

1. FC Nürnberg

3.70

Win to Nil

14%

Holstein Kiel

7.11

8%

1. FC Nürnberg

13.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 9.9 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.2 13.0 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.0 8.5 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.5 3.7 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.309
λ Away (xG) 1.060
Total xG 2.369
League avg home goals 1.507
League avg away goals 1.332
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.828
Holstein Kiel defence strength 0.993
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 0.802
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 1.049
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 59