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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 17 Apr 2026

17:30

Venue

Holstein-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Holstein Kiel Win

39%

Holstein Kiel

2.58

28%

Draw

3.51

33%

1. FC Kaiserslautern

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Holstein Kiel xG

Total xG

2.70

1.28

1. FC Kaiserslautern xG

39%
28%
33%
Holstein KielDraw1. FC Kaiserslautern

2.58

39%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

28%

Holstein Kiel

3.61

24%

1. FC Kaiserslautern

4.10

Win to Nil

11%

Holstein Kiel

9.34

8%

1. FC Kaiserslautern

12.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.7 5.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.5 12.2 7.9 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.7 8.6 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.2 4.1 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.412
λ Away (xG) 1.285
Total xG 2.697
League avg home goals 1.551
League avg away goals 1.325
Holstein Kiel attack strength 0.773
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.055
1. FC Kaiserslautern attack strength 0.919
1. FC Kaiserslautern defence strength 1.178
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 63