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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Poisson model favours Hertha BSC (46%) — form and H2H data both point in the same direction as Hertha BSC face Eintracht Braunschweig.

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Fixture Analysis

It is a 2. Bundesliga clash, Regular Season - 13 as Hertha BSC welcome Eintracht Braunschweig to Olympiastadion. Kick-off is set for Friday 21 November 2025 at 17:30 UTC.

Form Analysis

Looking at all fixtures this season, Hertha BSC stand at 6W 1D 3L from 10 2. Bundesliga matches — 1.90 PPG. Last five: W L W W W. They are averaging 1.40 goals per game and conceding 0.80 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. Defensively, conceding just 0.80 per game is an exceptional defensive record — one of the tightest in the division. 6 clean sheets from 10 games (60%) is a standout defensive return — they are keeping their net clean in more than half their matches. Both teams have scored in only 20% of their games — a low BTTS rate that suggests clean sheets are a regular occurrence. This season is still relatively young for Hertha BSC, so this record blends games from this season and last.

In front of their own supporters this season, Hertha BSC have posted 4W 4D 2L at Olympiastadion — 1.60 PPG. At home they are averaging 0.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.

Eintracht Braunschweig — All Games: 1W 1D 8L from 10 2. Bundesliga fixtures this season — 0.40 PPG. Last five: L W L L L. Their scoring rate of 0.80 per game is modest, conceding 2.20 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.20 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. Both teams have scored in 70% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Eintracht Braunschweig, so this record blends games from this season and last.

Eintracht Braunschweig's form when playing away from home: 4W 1D 5L across 10 road games this term (1.30 PPG). Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context. Their away PPG of 1.30 exceeds their overall 0.40 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.

Hertha BSC are in the better shape of the two on current 2. Bundesliga data — 1.50 PPG ahead (1.90 vs 0.40). That form margin is the baseline of a sensible selection even before other signals are layered in.

H2H

The historical ledger comes down firmly in favour of Hertha BSC: 3 wins from 4 previous clashes against 0 for Eintracht Braunschweig, with 1 draws across those contests.

Goals have been a feature of this fixture. The last 4 meetings have averaged 3.8 per game — a rate that gives the Over 2.5 market a solid historical foundation. The most recent clash, on 16 Mar 2025, ended 5–1 with Hertha BSC winning.

From a betting standpoint, the H2H backs both Hertha BSC and goals. The home side's 3 wins from 4 meetings, combined with an average of 3.8 goals per game, gives the home win and Over 2.5 combination a historically grounded case.

In-Play Profile

Hertha BSC in-play tendencies (46 games, 23 at home): they score before half-time in 74% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 64% of the time; BTTS occurs in 52% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 39% of games (home games).

Eintracht Braunschweig in-play tendencies (46 games, 23 at away): they score before half-time in 78% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 75% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (away games).

BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Hertha BSC 54% versus Eintracht Braunschweig 59%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Hertha BSC 52% | Eintracht Braunschweig 54%).

Poisson Model

The Poisson distribution model projects Hertha BSC 1.37 xG and Eintracht Braunschweig 0.97 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Hertha BSC attack 0.833 / defence 0.817 | Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.891 / defence 1.140. League average goals — home 1.440 / away 1.328. Data: 46 Hertha BSC games / 46 Eintracht Braunschweig games used (CurrentSeason).

Result probabilities: Hertha BSC 46% | Draw 27% | Eintracht Braunschweig 27%. Fair-value odds: Hertha BSC 2.17 | Draw 3.70 | Eintracht Braunschweig 3.70. Hertha BSC hold a narrow Poisson edge at 46% — the draw (27%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.

Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 41% | BTTS probability 46% | Total xG 2.33. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 59% — total xG of 2.33 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 46% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.

Our Verdict

Poisson rates Hertha BSC as the most likely outcome at 46% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 27% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Hertha BSC offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.

On the goals line, Poisson's 2.33 combined xG gives a 41% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration — though H2H averaging only 3.8 goals per meeting points in the other direction.

Poisson assigns a 46% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Hertha BSC 40% | Eintracht Braunschweig 60%.

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