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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

17:30

Venue

Olympiastadion Berlin

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Nürnberg Win

34%

Hertha BSC

2.96

23%

Draw

4.33

43%

1. FC Nürnberg

2.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

2 – 1

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Hertha BSC xG

Total xG

3.54

1.88

1. FC Nürnberg xG

34%
23%
43%
Hertha BSCDraw1. FC Nürnberg

2.96

34%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

2.32

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.24

Clean Sheet

15%

Hertha BSC

6.56

19%

1. FC Nürnberg

5.23

Win to Nil

5%

Hertha BSC

19.39

8%

1. FC Nürnberg

12.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 5.5 5.2 3.2 1.5 0.6
1 4.8 9.1 8.5 5.3 2.5 0.9
2 4.0 7.5 7.1 4.4 2.1 0.8
3 2.2 4.1 3.9 2.4 1.1 0.4
4 0.9 1.7 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.655
λ Away (xG) 1.881
Total xG 3.536
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.464
Hertha BSC attack strength 0.881
Hertha BSC defence strength 1.169
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 1.099
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 1.282
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56