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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Hannover 96 and Eintracht Braunschweig finished level at 1-1 at Heinz von Heiden-Arena, Regular Season - 25, in the 2. Bundesliga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Hannover 96 1.71 xG and Eintracht Braunschweig 0.88 xG, a combined 2.59. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Hannover 96 attack 0.95 / defence 0.93 against Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.75 / defence 1.20, drawn from 58/58 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Hannover 96 55% | Draw 27% | Eintracht Braunschweig 18%, with Hannover 96 to win its most likely call at 55%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 48%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 75% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 54% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Hannover 96 57%, Eintracht Braunschweig 52%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Hannover 96's trading profile (58 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did.

Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (58 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 45% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Hannover 96 arrived the stronger side — 1.55 PPG against 1.03. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Hannover 96 (home/away splits) managed 1 against a 1.86 scoring average — below par going forward. Eintracht Braunschweig (home/away splits) conceded 1 against a 2.14 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights