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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 28 Mar 2025

17:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hamburger SV Win

45%

Hamburger SV

2.23

29%

Draw

3.48

26%

SV Elversberg

3.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

2.55

1.08

SV Elversberg xG

45%
29%
26%
Hamburger SVDrawSV Elversberg

2.23

45%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

3.80

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

34%

Hamburger SV

2.94

23%

SV Elversberg

4.37

Win to Nil

15%

Hamburger SV

6.56

6%

SV Elversberg

16.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 8.4 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.5 12.4 6.7 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 9.1 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.2 4.5 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.5 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.474
λ Away (xG) 1.079
Total xG 2.553
League avg home goals 1.450
League avg away goals 1.294
Hamburger SV attack strength 1.466
Hamburger SV defence strength 0.844
SV Elversberg attack strength 0.988
SV Elversberg defence strength 0.694
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60