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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

12:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hamburger SV Win

61%

Hamburger SV

1.64

21%

Draw

4.79

18%

Karlsruher SC

5.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.0%

Draw

2 – 0

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.36

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

3.61

1.25

Karlsruher SC xG

61%
21%
18%
Hamburger SVDrawKarlsruher SC

1.64

61%

Home win

4.79

21%

Draw

5.55

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.91

Clean Sheet

29%

Hamburger SV

3.49

9%

Karlsruher SC

10.63

Win to Nil

17%

Hamburger SV

5.72

2%

Karlsruher SC

59.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 3.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 6.4 8.0 5.0 2.1 0.6 0.2
2 7.5 9.4 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.9 7.4 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 3.5 4.4 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.7 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.364
λ Away (xG) 1.251
Total xG 3.615
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.259
Hamburger SV attack strength 1.293
Hamburger SV defence strength 1.040
Karlsruher SC attack strength 0.956
Karlsruher SC defence strength 1.232
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64