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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

19:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hamburger SV Win

49%

Hamburger SV

2.05

26%

Draw

3.81

25%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

4.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

3.02

1.24

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

49%
26%
25%
Hamburger SVDrawFortuna Düsseldorf

2.05

49%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

4.00

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.54

Clean Sheet

29%

Hamburger SV

3.45

17%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

5.97

Win to Nil

14%

Hamburger SV

7.08

4%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

23.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 6.0 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 8.7 10.7 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.6 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.6 5.7 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.1 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.786
λ Away (xG) 1.238
Total xG 3.024
League avg home goals 1.485
League avg away goals 1.275
Hamburger SV attack strength 1.376
Hamburger SV defence strength 0.859
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 1.130
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 0.874
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58