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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

17:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hamburger SV Win

50%

Hamburger SV

2.01

23%

Draw

4.30

27%

1. FC Kaiserslautern

3.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

3.33

1.39

1. FC Kaiserslautern xG

50%
23%
27%
Hamburger SVDraw1. FC Kaiserslautern

2.01

50%

Home win

4.30

23%

Draw

3.69

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.84

Clean Sheet

25%

Hamburger SV

4.02

14%

1. FC Kaiserslautern

6.92

Win to Nil

12%

Hamburger SV

8.09

4%

1. FC Kaiserslautern

25.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 5.0 3.5 1.6 0.6 0.2
1 7.0 9.7 6.7 3.1 1.1 0.3
2 6.7 9.4 6.5 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 4.3 6.0 4.2 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 2.1 2.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.935
λ Away (xG) 1.391
Total xG 3.326
League avg home goals 1.466
League avg away goals 1.464
Hamburger SV attack strength 1.322
Hamburger SV defence strength 0.901
1. FC Kaiserslautern attack strength 1.055
1. FC Kaiserslautern defence strength 0.998
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56