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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

19:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hamburger SV Win

54%

Hamburger SV

1.86

27%

Draw

3.76

20%

1. FC Köln

5.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

2.91

1.06

1. FC Köln xG

54%
27%
20%
Hamburger SVDraw1. FC Köln

1.86

54%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

5.13

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

35%

Hamburger SV

2.88

16%

1. FC Köln

6.35

Win to Nil

19%

Hamburger SV

5.35

3%

1. FC Köln

32.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 5.8 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.1 10.7 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.8 6.1 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.7 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.849
λ Away (xG) 1.059
Total xG 2.908
League avg home goals 1.485
League avg away goals 1.481
Hamburger SV attack strength 1.397
Hamburger SV defence strength 0.854
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.837
1. FC Köln defence strength 0.891
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 17