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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 17 Jan 2025

17:30

Venue

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SV Darmstadt 98 Win

37%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

2.67

22%

Draw

4.60

41%

SV Darmstadt 98

2.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 2

7.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

6.6%

Away win

2 – 1

6.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.16

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

Total xG

4.42

2.25

SV Darmstadt 98 xG

37%
22%
41%
Fortuna DüsseldorfDrawSV Darmstadt 98

2.67

37%

Home win

4.60

22%

Draw

2.45

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

93%

Over 1.5

1.08

7%

Under 1.5

14.29

82%

Over 2.5

1.22

18%

Under 2.5

5.56

64%

Over 3.5

1.56

36%

Under 3.5

2.78

45%

Over 4.5

2.22

55%

Under 4.5

1.82

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

80%

BTTS Yes

1.25

20%

BTTS No

5.06

Clean Sheet

11%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

9.52

12%

SV Darmstadt 98

8.69

Win to Nil

4%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

25.40

5%

SV Darmstadt 98

21.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.2 2.7 3.1 2.3 1.3 0.6
1 2.6 5.9 6.6 5.0 2.8 1.3
2 2.8 6.4 7.2 5.4 3.0 1.4
3 2.0 4.6 5.2 3.9 2.2 1.0
4 1.1 2.5 2.8 2.1 1.2 0.5
5 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.162
λ Away (xG) 2.253
Total xG 4.415
League avg home goals 1.499
League avg away goals 1.507
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 1.131
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 1.234
SV Darmstadt 98 attack strength 1.212
SV Darmstadt 98 defence strength 1.276
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 17